ISSN 0536-1028 (Print)              ISSN 2686-9853 (Online)  

Khokhriakov A. V., Tseitlin E. M., Moskvina O. A., Larionova I. V. – The Ural State Mining University, Ekaterinburg, the Russian Federation. E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
The article gives information about environment quality deterioration in the Russian Federation and Sverdlovsk region, the reasons for environment quality deterioration are provided, the main peculiarities of mineral raw materials complex enterprises are revealed, the problems of ecological management effectiveness improvement are examined at the enterprises with the use of environment quality forecasting methods in the location area of waste disposal facilities. Some
disadvantages of existing forecasting methods are described. The methods of forecasting the quality of the environment in the location area of waste disposal facilities are suggested: moving average method, method with an additive constituent, method with the use of regressive analysis. The advantages of the introduced methods are described. Information is given about possible reasons for forecast errors.

Key words: mining; ecological management; mineral raw materials complex; contaminants concentration forecasting.

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